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I am guessing that you qualify as a heavy user.
That being the case, how many years do you use the cables before (I assume...) pre-emptive replacement?
One person's practice of carrying a spare Mirage Drive on long trips is starting to make sense to me.... not that I will ever take a long trip...
Good questions. To be honest I have never done a pre-emptive cable replacement (never needed to), though I usually sell off the kayak I am using after 2 - 3 years to get into a newer model. But you can take that to mean I have been able to make the chains/cables last that long without any failures whatsoever. Also no rust or performance issues. And for about 6 years I was using my kayak more than anyone I know, and pretty much all of it in open ocean waters.
That said, we do take precautions on our annual expeditions. In the early days a couple of the guys were too relaxed about maintenance/servicing (against my advice) and sure enough they ran into issues and have learned their lesson. We haven't had a problem in the last 6 trips, and we usually cover about 300kms per trip. Typically the group is about 6 people. There are always 2 spare chains, 2 spare sprockets and 2 spare masts between us.
I have done pre-emptive chain replacements for customers many times. I often suggest it as being a good idea if there is visible rust on the exposed cable, especially if it looks like it has penetrated the steel cable, which if left to fester eventually will.