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I would say yes and no. I'm 6'5" and 240 and can usually right it myself solo. But alot of it depends on the conditions. It seems to be much more difficult when there isn't much wind. I'm sure having the mast bob will give you an added advantage. Make sure your mast is pointed at a slight angle to the wind and all of your sheets are uncleated. On my 16 I used a quick release shackle to attach my blocks to the boom so that when I capsize I can just take the upper block off of the boom. I found that sometimes just uncleating the mainsheet would still give some resistance as the line fed out, most of the time when I capsize I'm sheeted in pretty hard. But there have been times when I just couldn't right it solo (little wind and really really tired) I don't think there is really a sure fire answer to this question. A lot of it depends on technique. I would say go out with some buddies, preferably someone with another boat. Capsize and give it a try, it is the only way you will ever really know if you can right it solo.
And to answer your question about how much weight it takes to right the 16, from what I understand, and one of the Matt's please feel free to clarify, Hobie set the minimum weight requirement for racing the 16 based on how much weight it takes to reliably right the 16, 285lbs.
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James
86' Redline Hobie 16
Sail # 76909
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